MondialeWorld Cup 2026
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Group IFull-time

Mon 22 Jun · 21:00 UTC

Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia

The model

Match prediction

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AI Prediction
72% confidenceUpset 22%
France crest

FRA

Home

20

Projected

IRQ

Away

Iraq crest
FRA 78%Draw 16%IRQ 6%

France carry the deeper squad and the sharper edge in the final third, and a group-stage fixture against Iraq should reward their patience against a side likely to defend in numbers. Iraq's best route to a result lies in frustration and set pieces, but France have the tools to break a low block and the defensive discipline to limit the counter. A controlled win is the most probable outcome, with the margin hinging on how early the first goal arrives.

  • France's attacking depth and individual quality
  • Iraq's likely low defensive block
  • Timing of the opening goal

Mon 22 Jun · 21:00 UTC

The table

Group I standings

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Group I

Top 2 advance
#TeamPGDPts
1France crestFRA3+89
2Norway crestNOR3+16
3Senegal crestSEN3+23
4Iraq crestIRQ3-110
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